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    Thu 07/14 | 1:38 AM UTC | Anaheim
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    Houston Astros 36-25, +103 ML
    HOU +1.5-210
    HOU +100
    Over 7+110
    L.A. Angels 32-30, -208 ML
    LAA -1.5+175
    LAA -120
    Under 7-130

    Expert Picks

    MLB | Houston 1 @ L.A. Angels 7 | 07/14 | 1:38 AM UTC

    UNDER 7 -115

    LOSS

    ANALYSIS: Larry jumped this total in the morning when it was still 7.5 and that looks great -- I decided to wait on whether Mike Trout would play, and he won't so now I'm also leaning Under and will probably buy up to 7.5 to avoid a possible push. Shohei Ohtani is on the mound and has allowed one earned run in his past five starts with a 28.2-inning scoreless streak. No Yordan Alvarez or Michael Brantley, remember, for Houston. The Astros' Cristian Javier has a 0.73 ERA in 12.1 innings this year vs. the Halos. Really tough to see either side scoring more than three runs unless it's against the bullpen. I DESERVE this total win after the abomination that was the bottom of the ninth in the Mariners-Nationals DH opener this afternoon. Still cleaning regurgitated Ramen noodle off my keyboard.

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    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays
    +460 19-10 IN LAST 29 MLB PICKS

    Season Splits

    36-25, +103 ML
    32-30, -208 ML
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    66%
    57-29, +957
    38-50, -2064
    43%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    63%
    30-17, +655
    21-24, -984
    46%
    As Underdog or Even
    STATUS
    As Favorite
    47%
    8-9, +3
    31-25, -391
    55%
    When Line was -119 to +111
    MONEY LINE
    When Line was -130 to -100
    57%
    8-6, +199
    11-13, -373
    45%
    As Road Underdog
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Favorite
    50%
    7-7, +85
    19-18, -589
    51%
    vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
    59%
    26-18, -167
    6-18, -1204
    25%
    vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
    63%
    31-18, +28
    9-19, -1140
    32%
    2nd game without a day off
    REST
    2nd game without a day off
    45%
    5-6, -194
    3-7, -487
    30%
    vs LAA
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs HOU
    72%
    8-3, +315
    3-8, -488
    27%
    when Cristian Javier starts
    PROJECTED STARTER
    when Shohei Ohtani starts
    58%
    7-5, +64
    8-6, -88
    57%