The first-place Brewers had the day off Thursday to stew on their back-to-back home losses to the Cubs in which they produced a total of four runs. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, played a doubleheader in Cincinnati on Thursday, then had to travel to Milwaukee. That scheduling quirk can only help our cause as the Brewers look to improve to 9-2 versus the Pirates this season and 21-5 at home in this matchup since 2019. Brewers lefty Aaron Ashby has pitched better than his 4.60 ERA would indicate, and Pittsburgh ranks 27th in OPS versus southpaws (.657). Play Milwaukee -1.5 runs at -105.