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    Thu 07/07 | 11:10 PM UTC | Boston
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    N.Y. Yankees 36-26, +311 ML
    NYY -1.5+105
    NYY -160
    Over 8.5-110
    Boston Red Sox 31-30, +218 ML
    BOS +1.5-125
    BOS +135
    Under 8.5-110

    Expert Picks

    MLB | N.Y. Yankees 6 @ Boston 5 | 07/07 | 11:10 PM UTC

    Boston +1.5 -115

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: If one team has had success in recent years against Gerrit Cole, it's Boston. The Sox also get Rafael Devers back from a two-game absence, while the Yanks remain without Anthony Rizzo ... and, in a huge surprise Aaron Judge is sitting. Frankly, those other Yankees hitters might be gassed from their slow-pitch softball game in Pittsburgh on Wednesday night. Gotta take the Sox on the RL at -115 with no Judge and Rizzo even as good as Cole can be.

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    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays
    +460 19-10 IN LAST 29 MLB PICKS
    +683 23-12 IN LAST 35 NYY ATS PICKS

    Season Splits

    36-26, +311 ML
    31-30, +218 ML
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    72%
    59-23, +1145
    45-37, +133
    54%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    64%
    25-14, +276
    21-18, -320
    53%
    As Favorite
    STATUS
    As Underdog or Even
    71%
    55-22, +768
    15-18, -60
    45%
    When Line was -175 to -145
    MONEY LINE
    When Line was +122 to +152
    42%
    8-11, -615
    7-3, +620
    70%
    As Road Favorite
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Underdog
    61%
    21-13, -101
    2-4, -177
    33%
    vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
    67%
    21-10, +557
    12-13, -104
    48%
    vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
    72%
    18-7, +604
    6-7, -90
    46%
    3rd game without a day off
    REST
    3rd game without a day off
    69%
    44-19, +741
    33-29, -150
    53%
    vs BOS
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs NYY
    66%
    2-1, +19
    1-2, -76
    33%
    when Gerrit Cole starts
    PROJECTED STARTER
    when Josh Wickowski starts
    75%
    12-4, +152
    3-2, +45
    60%