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Thu 07/07 | 11:10 PM UTC | Boston
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
N.Y. Yankees 73-46, -377 ML
NYY -1.5+105
NYY -160
Over 8.5-110
Boston Red Sox 59-60, -601 ML
BOS +1.5-125
BOS +135
Under 8.5-110

Expert Picks

MLB | N.Y. Yankees 6 @ Boston 5 | 07/07 | 11:10 PM UTC

Boston +1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: If one team has had success in recent years against Gerrit Cole, it's Boston. The Sox also get Rafael Devers back from a two-game absence, while the Yanks remain without Anthony Rizzo ... and, in a huge surprise Aaron Judge is sitting. Frankly, those other Yankees hitters might be gassed from their slow-pitch softball game in Pittsburgh on Wednesday night. Gotta take the Sox on the RL at -115 with no Judge and Rizzo even as good as Cole can be.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+3203 289-177-1 IN LAST 467 MLB PICKS
+888 18-7 IN LAST 25 NYY ATS PICKS

Season Splits

73-46, -377 ML
59-60, -601 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
72%
59-23, +1145
45-37, +133
54%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
64%
25-14, +276
21-18, -320
53%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
71%
55-22, +768
15-18, -60
45%
When Line was -175 to -145
MONEY LINE
When Line was +122 to +152
42%
8-11, -615
7-3, +620
70%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
61%
21-13, -101
2-4, -177
33%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
67%
21-10, +557
12-13, -104
48%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
72%
18-7, +604
6-7, -90
46%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
69%
44-19, +741
33-29, -150
53%
vs BOS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYY
66%
2-1, +19
1-2, -76
33%
when Gerrit Cole starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Josh Wickowski starts
75%
12-4, +152
3-2, +45
60%