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    Wed 07/06 | 6:10 PM UTC | Chicago
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    Minnesota Twins 31-30, -469 ML
    MIN +1.5-205
    MIN +100
    Over 8-120
    Chi. White Sox 27-35, -1090 ML
    CHW -1.5+170
    CHW -120
    Under 8+100

    Expert Picks

    MLB | Minnesota 8 @ Chi. White Sox 9 | 07/06 | 6:10 PM UTC

    Chi. White Sox -120

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: Yesterday was a bit ugly. We are getting into those dog days before the All-Star break where we are going to see some odd results as guys are worn down and looking forward to a few days off. Still can't believe the Yankees lost in Pittsburgh -- in fairness to me, I wouldn't have taken NYY at that big of a price on the road had I known Anthony Rizzo was not going to play. He was a late scratch. Still, no excuse for that loss. Ups-and-downs are gonna happen, but I am looking forward to the ASB as well. I don't really love much today, but I also don't want people to think I'm skittish after a bit of a rough Tuesday, so we'll do this one since I'll be watching it. Carlos Correa is out for the Twins (so is Gary Sanchez) and Eloy Jimenez is back for the Pale Hose. The Sox absolutely need Jimenez's power threat as they are 27th in homers. I'm not sure Chicago should be favored but there has to be a sense of urgency here to avoid the sweep. If the Pale Hose lose this, Tony La Russa needs to be fired, but he won't be as Jerry Reinsdorf has a man crush on him.

    author-image

    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays
    +990 16-4 IN LAST 20 MLB ML PICKS
    +1193 43-22 IN LAST 65 CHW ML PICKS
    +601 29-15 IN LAST 44 MIN ML PICKS

    Season Splits

    31-30, -469 ML
    27-35, -1090 ML
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    55%
    47-38, +108
    39-41, -494
    48%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    52%
    22-20, +206
    17-23, -945
    42%
    As Underdog or Even
    STATUS
    As Favorite
    41%
    14-20, -179
    23-21, -497
    52%
    When Line was -113 to +117
    MONEY LINE
    When Line was -136 to -106
    40%
    8-12, -391
    9-5, +239
    64%
    As Road Underdog
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Favorite
    47%
    10-11, +241
    13-15, -598
    46%
    vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
    55%
    11-9, +50
    15-18, -146
    45%
    vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
    54%
    24-20, -202
    9-14, -345
    39%
    3rd game without a day off
    REST
    3rd game without a day off
    58%
    40-29, +391
    26-29, -631
    47%
    vs CHW
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs MIN
    83%
    5-1, +390
    1-5, -417
    16%
    when Joe Ryan starts
    PROJECTED STARTER
    when Lance Lynn starts
    61%
    8-5, +11
    4-1, +291
    80%