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Wed 07/06 | 12:10 AM UTC | Chicago
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Minnesota Twins 61-55, -572 ML
MIN +1.5-170
MIN +115
Over 9-125
Chi. White Sox 61-58, -613 ML
CHW -1.5+143
CHW -135
Under 9+105

Expert Picks

MLB | Minnesota 8 @ Chi. White Sox 2 | 07/06 | 12:10 AM UTC

Chi. White Sox -135

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Minnesota took forever with its starting lineup -- why waited. This line moved a little after the Twins scratched pitcher Chris Archer for rookie Josh Winder but still a very manageable number on the Pale Hose, whom I think will play well/hard after frankly embarrassing themselves on the bases in Monday's extra-inning loss. Michael Kopech (2.78 ERA) hasn't been great of late but can dominate at anytime. Definitely would take him over Winder everyday of the week, and Kopech has been quite a bit better at home. The Sox are way overdue to beat the Twins as they haven't yet this year. Minnesota is 4-15 in its past 19 following a win.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+3203 289-177-1 IN LAST 467 MLB PICKS
+1193 33-15 IN LAST 48 CHW ML PICKS
+880 21-8 IN LAST 29 MIN ML PICKS

Season Splits

61-55, -572 ML
61-58, -613 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
55%
46-37, +96
38-40, -477
48%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
52%
21-19, +194
16-22, -928
42%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
40%
13-19, -191
22-20, -480
52%
When Line was +101 to +131
MONEY LINE
When Line was -151 to -121
31%
5-11, -513
13-7, +245
65%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
47%
9-10, +229
12-14, -581
46%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
55%
10-8, +38
14-17, -129
45%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
54%
23-19, -214
8-13, -328
38%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
58%
39-28, +379
25-28, -614
47%
vs CHW
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIN
100%
4-0, +378
0-4, -400
0%
when Josh Winder starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Michael Kopech starts
75%
3-1, +154
5-9, -424
35%