The Guardians are playing really well but Aaron Civale (2-3, 7.84) has not been good -- especially on the road (0-2, 12.00 ERA). It's also his first big-league start in a month due to injury. Minnesota's Joe Ryan (5-3, 2.81) wasn't great last time out in his return from the COVID list but has been quite good overall. Ryan is 2-0 with 1.00 ERA in 18 career innings vs. Cleveland. The Guardians are 6-14 in their last 20 games as road underdogs. The Twins are 19-7 in their last 26 as home favorites and have won 13 of their past 18 at home in this series.