My model says the Over hits in more than 70 percent of the simulations, so you're getting excellent value with it at this number. These teams combined for 14 runs in Friday's series opener, doubling the total for this contest. Nine of New York's last 13 games have gone Over the total for this one. Meanwhile, Miami is looking to continue a pattern in which it has been combining for 11 or more runs in alternating contests. Take Over 7 runs at -105.