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Sat 05/14 | 11:10 PM UTC | Chicago
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
N.Y. Yankees 72-42, -52 ML
NYY -1.5+105
NYY -145
Over 9-105
Chi. White Sox 59-56, -629 ML
CHW +1.5-125
CHW +125
Under 9-115

Expert Picks

MLB | N.Y. Yankees 2 @ Chi. White Sox 3 | 05/14 | 11:10 PM UTC

Chi. White Sox +1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: I get it, Jordan Montgomery is way better than Dallas Keuchel at this point. But the Sox usually destroy lefties and will have Andrew Vaughn back in the lineup today. With Yoan Moncada also now back (presumably starting), it's probably their best lefty-mashing lineup of the season until Eloy Jimenez returns. The Yankees should be favored, but the runline at -115 is too good to pass up ... until Tony LaRussa does something stupid. I seriously worry about that dude's mental state. Almost seems like a signature moment for my Pale Hose after losing the first two games in routs. I am done with totals but like Over here (so it will be 1-0). Anyone going? Twitter: @jordanpaytonsn1

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2973 281-173 IN LAST 454 MLB PICKS
+1082 19-7 IN LAST 26 CHW ATS PICKS
+888 18-7 IN LAST 25 NYY ATS PICKS

Season Splits

72-42, -52 ML
59-56, -629 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
75%
24-8, +632
15-16, -374
48%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
71%
10-4, +277
8-9, -327
47%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
73%
22-8, +393
2-6, -308
25%
When Line was -172 to -142
MONEY LINE
When Line was +120 to +150
33%
2-4, -279
2-3, -8
40%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
66%
8-4, +38
0-3, -300
0%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
71%
10-4, +371
5-4, +61
55%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
72%
8-3, +352
2-3, -151
40%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
70%
17-7, +391
9-10, -281
47%
vs CHW
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYY
100%
2-0, +179
0-2, -200
0%
when Jordan Montgomery starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Dallas Keuchel starts
33%
2-4, -277
2-3, -70
40%