Wow, as good as the Mets might be, I struggle to see the Cardinals being swept at home. New York closer Edwin Diaz probably isn't available after finishing the previous two games. It's former Mets lefty Steven Matz on the mound and while he has been meh so far (actually good in past two outings after a lousy debut), New York's splits are much worse against southpaws, and the Mets are resting regulars Jeff McNeil and James McCann ... I'm surprised Pete Alonso is playing after taking a pitch off the head Tuesday. The Cards may well win but I'll take the runline at -160.

Getting in my last plays before I head out, the Cardinals need a win here bad to avoid losing the series. They have Steven Matz pitching against one of his former teams in the Mets, and he has pitched well to start this season despite his first start. The Mets are ranked 17th in the league in wOBA against lefties. The Cardinals had a tough task facing Max Scherzer then Chris Bassitt back to back. Carlos Carrasco has been pitching well but he’s neither of those other two. The Cardinals bullpen is better than the Mets and they should be able to salvage this home series.