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Fri 04/22 | 10:40 PM UTC | Cincinnati
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
St. Louis Cardinals 44-38, -193 ML
STL -1.5+140
STL -125
Over 7.5-120
Cincinnati Reds 27-52, -1821 ML
CIN +1.5-160
CIN +105
Under 7.5+100

Expert Picks

St. Louis 4 @ Cincinnati 2 | 04/22 | 10:40 PM UTC

St. Louis -123

WIN

ANALYSIS: We are getting a pretty cheap price on the clearly better Cardinals here because their starting pitcher, Steven Matz, has a 7.27 ERA but that was just one bad start, while his counterpart is rookie Hunter Greene, he of the record-breaking 39 pitches of at least 100 mph last time out. Greene might get his strikeouts here, but Cincinnati is putrid otherwise and is down four regulars in the lineup in the injured Jonathan India (2021 NL Rookie of the Year), Tyler Stephenson, Mike Moustakas and Tyler Naquin.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1651 205-129 IN LAST 334 MLB PICKS
+509 12-5 IN LAST 17 CIN ML PICKS
+777 21-9 IN LAST 30 STL ML PICKS

Season Splits

44-38, -193 ML
27-52, -1821 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
63%
7-4, +221
2-11, -797
15%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
57%
4-3, +138
0-2, -200
0%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
80%
4-1, +170
2-10, -697
16%
When Line was -140 to -110
MONEY LINE
When Line was -109 to +121
100%
1-0, +87
0-0, 0
0%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
100%
1-0, +87
0-1, -100
0%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
0%
0-0, 0
2-6, -297
25%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
71%
5-2, +190
2-2, +103
50%
3rd game without a day off
REST
After a Day Off
33%
1-2, -101
1-1, +52
50%
vs CIN
HEAD TO HEAD
vs STL
0%
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
0%
when Steven Matz starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Hunter Greene starts
50%
1-1, -1
1-1, +51
50%