Reds starter Tyler Mahle is coming off a breakout season and he followed it up with a five-inning gem on Opening Day (5 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 7 K) against the defending champion Braves. The Guardians' offense isn't going to be very good this season and after scoring 27 runs in their last two games, some evening out is due (take note that they scored just one run combined in the first two games of the season). Also, the Reds had Monday off, so their bullpen will be set up however manager David Bell likes it best. Shane Bieber is on the other side. Oh, and the wind is blowing in.

If you are going to tail, I recommend doing it soon because this total has dropped to 8 at many books. Cincinnati is a great hitters' park but the wind is blowing in a bit today and that game time should have some affect on batters in terms of shadows around home plate. Yes, the Guardians have been raking the past two days -- Steven Kwan!?!? -- in Kansas City but Reds starter Tyler Mahle was good in his season debut and is countered by former Cy Young winner Shane Bieber of the Guards (that's my shortened nickname for them), and he should largely shut down Cincinnati.