Yeah, this number is going to change drastically. Not really sure why a few books opened this with Atlanta just -110. I think it's because Washington hasn't officially named its starting pitcher, but it apparently will be Josh Rogers due to an injury to Anibal Sanchez. The 27-year-old Rogers has a 5.55 ERA and 1.49 WHIP 14 big-league outings (nine starts) in three major league seasons. Atlanta's Huascar Ynoa was much better at home (2.88 ERA) last year than away.

I wanna preface this with I have a feeling this line is completely off, but we still have to take advantage while its here. However, Josh Rogers made six starts last season and actually pitching pretty decently. He did have trouble with walks however, and 5 of the 6 teams he faced were in the bottom 10 in wOBA against lefties last season. The Braves were actually ranked just 20th in the league in wOBA against lefties last season, however they added a few key right handed bats in the offseason. I would expect Matt Olson to be the only lefty in the lineup today, and Rogers allowed a .286 BA against righties last season. The Braves won 14 of the 19 games between these teams last season and 6 of the last 7 games between them overall. Huascar Ynoa faced the Nats three times last season and didn’t allow an earned run in the first two while only allowing 2 ER in the third game. Take the Braves at home. This line did rise since I posted as expected, but I would still play it up to -160 or -170.