The old saying goes that every MLB team wins 60 games .. it's what you do with the other 100 (it's 102 but whatever). So, yeah, the Pirates are going to burn us a few times. But I'm still going to hammer against them on the road almost nightly. I honestly don't understand why this isn't -200 or higher with Mitch Keller (6.17 ERA last year) on the mound for the Bucs.

Mitch Keller is getting the start for the Pirates and he has looked much better this season, even touching 100mph at times. However, the Pirates don’t have a great bullpen behind him, and he shouldn’t go more than 5 innings. Miles MIkolas is coming off a shortened season because of injuries but he did pitch solid in his only two starts against the Pirates last season. The Cardinals were able to avoid their top bullpen arms with their beatdown of Pittsburgh in Game 1, and they had a day off anyway for their guys to rest. I like the Cards at home to win again, especially at this value.