These teams look pretty similar in most matchups tonight. Nick Pivetta and Luis Patiño are almost mirror images of one another as pitchers, and both offenses provide pop. But there's one difference: Tampa has the best bullpen in baseball, and that advantage alone leaves value on the Rays at this price.

The Rays and Red Sox begin their fifth series this season. Boston RHP Nick Pivetta has struggled in recent starts but has been above-average against Tampa Bay. Pivetta has had five scoreless outings this year, with two of them occurring against the Rays. Look for the underdog Red Sox to end Tampa Bay's seven-game winning streak.

The Rays have won 7 games in a row and they are tied for the second-best record in the league since the trade deadline at 19-6. The Red Sox are 12-14 since the trade deadline and 4-10 on the road. Luis Patino is much better with a 2.10 ERA at home and Nick Pivetta has struggled recently. Pivetta has faced the Rays three times already this season so that should benefit the hitters, and the Red Sox bullpen is a little worked after three close games in Cleveland. The Rays are 5-1 at home against the Red Sox this season.

Nick Pivetta was outstanding in April but he has been below average since. In five of his last eight starts, he's given up four earned runs. The Rays have won seven straight overall and are 7-1 in the last eight meetings with Boston. That includes five straight home wins. Lay the reasonable price.