I'll grab the Under for the day game today. Royals hitters are pretty bad on the road and especially against righthanded pitching. They face Zach Davies, who has a 2.85 ERA in day games compared to 6.10 at night. Davies also has done decently against weaker teams, which the Royals certainly are. The Cubs offense has been low-scoring over the last few weeks, and I think that even Brad Keller can keep Chicago in check. The total has gone Under in six of the last eight Royals road games and 16 of their last 24 games overall. The total has also gone Under seven of the last nine times these teams have met.

I didn't like backing the Royals as outright moneyline favorites but also didn't like backing the Cubs as ML underdogs or at +1.5 at a big price. This ML has now flipped to where Chicago is favored so now I rather like Royals +1.5. I'm just not sure that Cubs lineup is good enough to win many games by more than one run and Kansas City may well win outright despite losing the DH. KC starter Brad Keller was awful to begin this year but has pitched into the seventh inning in five of his last seven starts and has a 3.83 ERA in those. Chicago's Zach Davies has a 5.18 home ERA.