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Mon 08/02 | 11:05 PM UTC | New York City
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Baltimore Orioles 37-67, -1276 ML
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Over 10.5-105
N.Y. Yankees 56-48, -524 ML
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Under 10.5-115

Expert Picks

Baltimore 7 @ N.Y. Yankees 1 | 08/02 | 11:05 PM UTC

OVER 10

LOSS

ANALYSIS: I wasn’t all that impressed with the Yankees' acquisition of LHP Andrew Heaney. He has allowed at least runs in six of his last seven games, and I think the market is undervaluing the Orioles a good deal, so I’ll use the Over to get a little value. New York should have no problem with Baltimore RHP Jorge Lopez, who is 2-12 with a 1.68 WHIP. Expect some walks and some home runs as this one goes Over.

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Justin Perri

Model Guy
+483 8-3 IN LAST 11 MLB O/U PICKS
+80 4-3 IN LAST 7 BAL O/U PICKS

Season Splits

37-67, -1276 ML
56-48, -524 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
35%
37-67, -1276
56-48, -524
53%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
35%
20-36, -299
27-23, -408
54%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
36%
35-61, -830
45-38, -812
54%
When Line was +225 to +255
MONEY LINE
When Line was -295 to -265
50%
3-3, +435
1-2, -166
33%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
37%
20-34, -99
24-20, -443
54%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
41%
10-14, -16
20-18, -543
52%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
42%
9-12, +241
29-29, -691
50%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
38%
27-43, -123
39-33, -495
54%
vs NYY
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BAL
40%
4-6, +40
6-4, -67
60%
when Jorge Lopez starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Andrew Heaney starts
33%
7-14, -551
0-0, 0