The wind is blowing in fairly substantially at Progressive Field. Houston is in an offensive slump as it is, scoring three runs or fewer in five of its past six, remains without Alex Bregman and is resting Carlos Correa here. Tribe start JC Mejia has a 2.25 ERA at home. Meanwhile, Houston's Framber Valdez (4-1, 2.11) has emerged into one of the AL's top young pitchers. Batters are hitting just .206 off him.

This is really a fade the Astros pick more than anything. Since their 11 game win streak they have looked awful, losing two of three to the Tigers and getting swept at home by the Orioles. Now they head back on the road after losing four straight. Framber Valdez has been good this season but he has only started six games and hes been getting more hittable. JC Mejia is really hit or miss when it comes to his performance but he has been better at home and he is coming off his best start of the season. Take the dog.