Theses two teams played a doubleheader yesterday but the Braves have played four games in the last two days. Charlie Morton has been much better recently and he pitched well against the Mets in their first outing. Marcus Stroman has yet to face the Braves this season and he has pitched six straight quality starts. The Mets are 21-8 at home this season and Jeff McNeil is back from the IL. Michael Conforto is also expected to be activated from the IL tonight. I like the Mets at home.

Even money on this Under play is solid value, as the weather should help the ball stay in the park. There is a good chance to push, but Mets RHP Marcus Stroman has been phenomenal at home and Atlanta RHP Charlie Morton was in good form during his last outing against St. Louis. Citi Field is one of the best Under parks in baseball with a record of 20-6-3. I'll back the trend to keep profiting and may play it again for half a unit if it moves to 7.5.

The Mets are underdogs in this game? That won't last so grab them on the runline while you can behind Marcus Stroman (6-5, 2.35). He has completed at least six innings in eight consecutive starts, a career high, and is 4-0 with a 1.88 career ERA. The last pitcher to win his first four career starts vs. Atlanta with a sub-2.00 ERA was Adam Wainwright (2007-2009). The Braves are 1-4 in their past four after a win -- they took Game 2 of the teams' doubleheader on Monday.