loading...
Wed 06/16 | 11:10 PM UTC | Flushing
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Chi. Cubs 38-29, +810 ML
CHC +1.5
CHC +260
Over 6.5
N.Y. Mets 34-25, +340 ML
NYM -1.5
NYM -300
Under 6.5

Expert Picks

Chi. Cubs 3 @ N.Y. Mets 6 | 06/16 | 11:10 PM UTC

N.Y. Mets -1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: It's Mets ace and NL Cy Young and MVP favorite Jacob deGrom on the mound, and he has been historically good - deGrom is even raking at the plate! Check out the news feed story today for more. The Cubs appear to be largely punting on this game as they are resting Kris Bryant (did get hit by pitch on Tuesday) and Willson Contreras. It's the first big-league start for 31-year-old journeyman pitcher Robert Stock, called up from the Triple-A Iowa Cubs. Obviously, there's no value on the Mets at -300 on the moneyline, so runline at -120 it is.

author-image

Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2314 32-8-2 IN LAST 42 MLB PICKS
+395 5-1 IN LAST 6 NYM ATS PICKS
+97 2-1 IN LAST 3 CHC ATS PICKS

Season Splits

38-29, +810 ML
34-25, +340 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
56%
38-29, +810
34-25, +340
57%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
42%
14-19, -397
19-6, +811
76%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
44%
15-19, +142
21-14, -70
60%
When Line was +245 to +275
MONEY LINE
When Line was -315 to -285
0-0, 0
2-0, +65
100%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
31%
7-15, -523
15-5, +436
75%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
55%
16-13, +654
12-9, +233
57%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
53%
14-12, +552
7-6, +25
53%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
53%
25-22, +435
21-11, +737
65%
vs NYM
HEAD TO HEAD
vs CHC
60%
3-2, +120
2-3, -143
40%
when Robert Stock starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Jacob deGrom starts
0-0, 0
7-3, +49
70%