Matt Harvey is 3-2 with a 3.60 ERA this season and he returns to Citi Field to face the Mets where he was so dominant in his past. Taijuan Walker is 2-1 with a 2.38 ERA this season and he has pitched seven innings without allowing an earned run in two of his last three starts. When he has problems, it is usually because of walks but he has only allowed one walk in his last 13 IP. Harvey hasn’t been able to get deep into games but the Orioles have the eighth ranked bullpen in the league. The Unders are 11-2 in New York this season, might as well ride them until they run out.

First game of Wednesday and the storyline is Baltimore starting pitcher Matt Harvey facing his former Mets team. From 2012-15, Harvey emerged as one of the best pitchers in baseball with the Mets. At 3-2 with a 3.60 ERA this year, he has been a pleasant surprise, and 63 percent of my model simulations have the Orioles "covering" at +1.5 (-140) on the runline.