Yes, 7.5 is a low under, but it's hard to see this one even get to a 4-3 result, which would still be a winner. The Mets' offense hasn't fully clicked yet. Possibly it's the cold weather or the large number of postponements. In nine of their 11 games, they've scored four or fewer runs. Yes, there were two seven-inning doubleheaders last weekend, but they only scored eight runs in three games in Coors Field. The Cubs have scored three or fewer runs in 10 of their 15 games. It's going to be very cold with the wind blowing in. They won't get to Taijuan Walker.

The Cubs are good value at -159 on the runline because they could easily win what should be a low-scoring game -- low-scoring games often end in one-run margins -- with cold weather (may actually snow a bit but is expected to be played), two good starting pitchers and two struggling offenses. The Cubs are last in the majors in batting average and the Mets are in homers with just six in 11 games. Cubs starter Jake Arrieta (2-1, 3.18) went 2-0 with a 2.19 ERA in two starts vs. New York in 2020 while with the Phillies. New York's Taijuan Walker (0-0, 2.61) hasn't faced the Cubs in four years. Chicago has won 16 of the past 21 in the series.