Kenta Maeda will be starting for the Twins after a 2.70 ERA and Cy Young runner-up in 2020. Brandon Woodruff will be starting for the Brewers but it’s the lineups where the Twins have the big advantage. They will be in an NL park so Nelson Cruz starts on the bench, but they will have plenty of firepower in that lineup without him. Woodruff faced the Twins once last season and allowed 10 baserunners in five innings despite only allowing two runs. Take the value in the Twins to start the season.

Kenta Maeda was sneakily one of the best pitchers in baseball last season and dominated all spring. In two starts against the Brewers last year, he had a 1.84 ERA in 14 2/3 innings with 17 strikeouts. Yes, the Brewers are a tough home team, but they were only 15-14 in Miller Park last year and were actually outscored by eight runs in those 29 games. I love Maeda and the Twins' value here as an underdog.

The Twins offer nice value as slight road dogs against Brandon Woodruff. I love this Twins lineup from top to bottom, and I love what we saw last season from Kenta Maeda. I make the Twins -117 as I have them winning 54% of simulations in this matchup.