The last time Matt Boyd faced the Royals he got chased in the fourth inning and allowed seven runs. The last time Edinson Volquez faced the Tigers 21 days ago he gave up four runs. Boyd has been much better lately but he still gave up seven runs in 3 2/3 innings of work 11 days ago against the Twins. Volquez pitched well in his last start at Cleveland, but the start before against the A's he gave up eight runs. You kind of see where I'm going? Over.

Tigers lefty Matt Boyd was lit up by the Royals in his only start against K.C. this season, giving up seven earned runs in 3 2/3 innings. My sims have the Royals winning Sunday's matchup behind Edinson Volquez nearly half the time, making the underdog on the moneyline a no-brainer play.