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Valencia have now scored in their last 10 matches in a row across all competitions. This team sitting in a relegation spot have started fighting for every single point, and are determined to find their way out of the bottom three. While their defense is still brutal and their away record abysmal, this is a team that took poitns off Elche, Mallorca, Sevilla and Real Betis in the last couple months, and are capable of a cagey draw.
I always get nervous when I see a line set for 1.5 goals at relatively playable odds. We see it pretty frequently for Getafe as they remain one of the few clubs averaging less than one goal scored per match. I do however, like it in this case due to Valencia's change in playstyle. They're sitting 18th in the table in a relegation spot and have been shifting to a more attack-heavy playstyle. Nine of their last 10 matches have neded with more than 1.5 goals, and they've scored in all 10 of those matches. I expect another close fought match with 2+ goals.
