The 2020 Todd Gurley Fantasy football value remains strong, as he's set for another 200-carry campaign. He's a top-20 RB candidate in most formats, but how high should he be in your 2020 Fantasy football rankings? Here's what you need to know:
So which players are poised for breakouts, which sleepers do you need to jump on, and which busts should you avoid at all costs in your Fantasy football league? Join SportsLine now to get early 2020 Fantasy football rankings, plus see which WR is going to come out of nowhere to crack the top 10, all from the model that out-performed experts big time last season.
Todd Gurley Fantasy ADP & ranking (via SportsLine's projection model)
No. 32.6 ADP
No. 19 RB
Todd Gurley Fantasy projections (via SportsLine's projection model)
194 rushing attempts, 728 rushing yards, 6.3 rushing touchdowns, 45.1 catches, 351 receiving yards, 3.2 receiving touchdowns
162.3 Fantasy points (non-PPR); 207.4 (PPR)
Todd Gurley 2020 Fantasy outlook
It's impossible to feel 100 percent confident in Gurley's arthritic knee, which is why his ADP is as low as it is. What we can feel confident in is that the RB position in Atlanta is valuable role for Fantasy purposes. Devonta Freeman was the RB1 and RB6 in Fantasy during the 2015 and 16 seasons, and both he and Tevin Coleman finished inside the top-24 in 2017. Freeman was injured in 2018, which allowed Coleman to finish as the RB18.
Freeman had clearly lost a step in 2019. His PFF rushing grade of 57 was the lowest since his rookie year and ranked 59th among 61 qualified backs. Despite the massive drop-off, Freeman still finished as a top-20 Fantasy back last year because of Atlanta's RB-friendly scheme.
Gurley isn't going to have everything handed to him on a platter like he did in 2017 and 18, when he ran behind the league's best offensive line and had the NFL's top red zone usage by a wide margin. We might not see a "perfect storm" situation for a Fantasy RB like that again for a long time. But, could Gurley's situation in Atlanta be more Fantasy-friendly than the one he saw in L.A. during the 2019 season? Absolutely.
And given the fact that nothing from Gurley's advanced statistical profile suggests a decline in his ability as a rusher, he could capitalize on the situation in Atlanta and have a big-time Fantasy bounce-back in 2020. I think the upside is there for a top-10 season from Gurley, but he's currently my RB16 due to the amount of risk that comes with his knee.
