No. 8 seed Utah State and No. 9 seed TCU are set to square off in the first round of the 2024 NCAA Tournament in the Midwest Region. The Aggies enter March Madness 2024 with a 27-6 overall record that includes a perfect 2-0 mark against top-25 opponents. The Horned Frogs went 21-12 during the regular season, and 9-9 in Big 12 play. The winner of this game will likely face No. 1 seed Purdue in the second round. 

Tipoff is set for 9:55 p.m. ET from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. The Horned Frogs are 3.5-point favorites in the latest Utah State vs. TCU odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under is 149.5 points (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page).  

Before making any TCU vs. Utah State picks, you need to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters the 2024 NCAA tournament on a 148-106 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It also has a strong 29-19 (+810) record on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model has factored in that TCU is a more talented team than their record may indicate. The Horned Frogs have three players averaging double-digits in points per game led by Emanuel Miller (15.9) and Jameer Nelson Jr. (11.3). TCU is battle tested after playing in one of the toughest conferences in the country in the Big 12. 

The model has also considered that Utah State might have the firepower and discipline to keep up. The Aggies went 14-4 in Mountain West play during the regular season under first year head coach Danny Sprinkle, and they are efficient on both ends. Junior forward Great Osobor leads the way for Utah State, averaging 18.0 points and 9.2 rebonds per game. 

Now, the model has set its sights on TCU vs. Utah State. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of computer simulation! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

Who wins Utah State vs. TCU, and which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from that's on a 29-19 roll on top-rated college basketball spread picks!