NASCAR's 2018 season rolls on Sunday at 2:30 p.m. ET with the Consumers Energy 400 at Michigan International Speedway. We simulated this huge race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard. 

Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, our proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model takes factors such as track history and recent results into account.

 It's made some huge calls in NASCAR this year, including correctly projecting recent wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. It then nailed four of the top five finishers at the Quaker State 400 and three of the top five at New Hampshire. Anybody following its picks this season is up huge.

One pick we'll give away for NASCAR at Michigan: Kyle Larson, one of the top favorites at 5-1, barely cracks the top 10. Another shocker: Kurt Busch, going off at 30-1, makes a strong run at the title. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

The model is also targeting another huge long shot who could make serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who bets on this underdog could hit it BIG.

So who wins the 2018 Consumers Energy 400? And which long shot stuns NASCAR at Michigan? Join SportsLine here to see the full Consumers Energy 400 leaderboard from the model that is crushing its NASCAR picks this year!