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Pistons vs. Pacers line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Thursday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Thursday's matchup between the Detroit Pistons and the Indiana Pacers

By@SportsLineUpdated: Dec 16, 2021 10:26PM UTC . 3 min read

The Detroit Pistons and Indiana Pacers kick off the Thursday evening NBA slate at 7 p.m. ET in Indianapolis. Indiana is favored by 10 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 209.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page).

 Before making any Pistons vs. Pacers picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 9 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 44-20 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,000. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows the Pistons take full advantage of the free throw line. Detroit is in the top five of the NBA in free throw attempts, averaging 21.3 per game, and the Pistons are connecting on 78.7 percent of those shots at the charity stripe. On defense, the Pistons are generating 16.0 turnovers per game, ranking in the top three of the NBA. Detroit is also in the top ten of the NBA in steals (8.2 per game) with a higher average in blocks per game (4.9) than the league average. 

The model also knows the Pacers have strengths on both ends. Indiana is a top-flight team in both two-point shooting and offensive rebounding, putting pressure on the rim. The Pacers are also in the top five in three-pointers allowed, assists allowed and blocked shots on defense, with a very strong 74 percent defensive rebound rate. Detroit is No. 29 in the NBA in offensive efficiency, and the Pacers should be able to force the Pistons into suboptimal shot attempts on a regular basis.

Now, it has set its sights on Pistons vs. Pacers. We can tell you the model is leaning under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Pistons vs. Pacers? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Pistons vs. Pacers spread you should be all over Thursday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!

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