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Pirates vs. Marlins odds, picks: Advanced computer MLB model releases selections for Thursday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Thursday's matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Miami Marlins
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The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Miami Marlins wrap up a mid-week series with a matinee contest at 12:10 p.m. ET on Thursday. Miami is listed as a -170 favorite (risk $170 to win $100) at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 7.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our MLB odds page). 

Before making any Pirates vs. Marlins picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it is 275-236 on top-rated MLB money-line picks since the start of the 2021 season, returning over $400 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

The model knows the Pirates have some offensive strengths. Pittsburgh is above-average among NL teams in home runs, and the Pirates are in the top five in triples. From there, the Pirates will deploy an effective starting pitcher in Zach Thompson, and the 28-year-old right-hander has a 2.74 ERA over his last 11 outings. Thompson is limiting opponents to a .299 OBP since the start of May, and he has a career 3.76 ERA.

The model also knows the Marlins have a favorable run prevention projection. Miami's starting pitcher, 24-year-old Braxton Garrett, is showing command in walking only 2.0 batters per nine innings this season. Garrett has a 2.77 ERA in July, and he is holding left-handers to a .617 OPS this season. He is also facing a Pittsburgh team that is last in the NL in runs, hits, doubles, and batting average in 2022.

Now, it has set its sights on Pirates vs. Marlins. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one team has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.

Who wins Pirates vs. Marlins? And which team has ALL the value on the money line? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Pirates vs. Marlins matchup you should be all over Thursday, all from the model on a roll on MLB picks!

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SportsLine Staff

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