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Packers vs Vikings prediction, props, odds: Top-rated NFL expert reveals player prop bet picks for Week 11

R.J. White has just revealed his NFL prop bet picks for Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers

By@SportsLineUpdated: Nov 20, 2021 7:13PM UTC . 5 min read

Reigning NFL MVP Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers (8-2) hit the road to take on Kirk Cousins and the Minnesota Vikings (4-5) in a key Week 11 NFL game on Sunday, November 21 at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. All-Pro left tackle David Bakhtiari and Pro Bowl running back Aaron Jones are both out for the Packers. Green Bay is a one-point favorite in the latest Packers vs. Vikings odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 47.5 points. In addition to the Vikings vs Packers point spread and Week 11 NFL betting lines, Caesars is also offering a plethora of prop bet options for this bitter NFC North rivalry matchup, and SportsLine NFL expert R.J. White has just revealed his top plays.

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White, a CBS Sports fantasy and gambling editor, ended the 2020 season on an 80-59 run on all NFL picks, returning more than $1,400 during that span. He also enters Week 11 as SportsLine's No. 3 rated NFL expert, going 51-39-1 (+800) on his last 91 NFL ATS picks. It's no surprise, as White has cashed huge twice in the world's most prestigious football handicapping competition, the Las Vegas SuperContest. Anyone who has followed his picks has seen HUGE returns.

You can see all of White's expert NFL picks and analysis HERE.

Now, White has locked in on Packers vs. Vikings and just revealed his top three prop bet picks for this Week 11 NFL matchup.

Dalvin Cook Over 83.5 rushing yards (-110)

"Cook has averaged 92.6 rushing yards per game this year, and he's topped this number in three of his last four, including last week where he didn't have a great per-carry average, but the Vikings kept attacking a poor Chargers rush defense anyway to get him to 94 yards. The Packers similarly are vulnerable to the run, ranking 26th in yards per rush allowed versus third in net yards per pass attempt allowed. In that type of matchup, we can expect the Minnesota gameplan to be to get Cook over 20 carries while chewing up yards and keeping Aaron Rodgers off the field as much as possible. I'm surprised this line isn't 10 yards higher."

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Aaron Rodgers longest completion Under 38.5 passing yards (-120)

"Rodgers has a fair number of 40-yard plays this year, including two last week against the Seahawks. But one of those was on a dump-off to A.J. Dillon that went 50 yards, something you certainly can't count on when trying to cash the Over on this prop. And aside from the other 41-yard play, Rodgers hadn't thrown a pass this long since facing the Bears in Week 6. The Vikings have similarly limited big plays in the passing game of late, with three of the five pass plays of at least 39 yards they've allowed coming in September and none in November. Rodgers is certainly capable of uncorking a big play at any time, but recent performance by these two units makes me think this one is going Under."

Adam Thielen Anytime TD (+130)

"Because Justin Jefferson has the higher upside of the Vikings receivers, his anytime TD odds check in around even, while Thielen sits a good bit behind the young star at +130. But go by actual production on the field, and those numbers should be reversed. Three of Jefferson's four TDs came in the first four games of the season, meaning he's scored just once since Week 4. Conversely, Thielen scored in three straight games before failing to reach paydirt last week, which was just his third goose egg of the year. The Packers defense is 29th in red zone efficiency, giving up a TD on 73.1 percent of opponents' trips inside the 20. Even though Tyler Conklin was the guy who got those short looks like week, I think Thielen will have his number called this week as things revert to normal for Minnesota."

Looking for the best picks against the spread, sharp plays on the total, and props you can take straight to the pay window? Join Jonathan Coachman on the Early Edge as he speaks with SportsLine's top handicappers to preview the day's biggest games. We promise to keep it short, sweet and to put some green in your pocket. Early Edge is in your feed every single day by 11 a.m. ET. Subscribe right here on YouTube to watch daily, plus don't miss the Early Edge specials and live shows!

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