NFL Week 7 best bets: Top five spread picks for premier NFL betting competition from proven expert

I'm maintaining a 60% average through six weeks of the Circa Million despite not a single 3-2 week, mixing 4-1 gems with 2-3 letdowns. The latter hit last week, with the decision to play the Titans instead of the Bengals ruined by an 87-yard fumble return touchdown. My other two losses came due to two free field goals surrendered by the Broncos on early turnovers and a Washington team that let an eight-point fourth-quarter lead slip away.

I liked the Bengals again on Thursday against the Steelers, but using the Thursday night games as part of the Vegas contest is basically completely off the table as you would have to submit your entire card by Thursday afternoon. That means you forfeit the chance to get extra information around injuries for your other four picks, and that's too valuable to pass up. For example, we now know CeeDee Lamb will return for the Cowboys, which has helped flipped Dallas to favored status against Washington.

For those who try to accumulate line value with their picks, Cowboys +1.5 (the contest line locked on Thursday afternoon) becomes a must-play. However, those who were leaning Washington may make the Commanders a stronger play knowing there should be a massive amount of people taking the other side. I almost put this game on my card, but it didn't quite make my five best bets for Week 7 based on the Circa Million contest lines.

Why listen to me? I'm 718-623-37 and up more than 32 units on ATS picks over the last eight years and even better with my top five picks each week, going 464-379-27 (55%) over the last 10 years in the Las Vegas ATS contests. 

So which NFL contest picks am I making for Week 7? ... Join SportsLine right now to see NFL ATS best bets from the expert who's 718-623-37 on ATS picks from 2017 to 2024, returning more than 32 units!

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