NFL Week 2 opening line projections: Early power rating adjustments to help attack spreads for every game

Once the 1 p.m. ET slate on an NFL Sunday comes to a close, sportsbooks start reviewing data from those completed games and planning where they will set the following week's lines, which come out as the late afternoon slate is wrapping up. Is a surprise upset supported by the data? Is there a consequential injury that will need to keep a game off the board until more is known? Does any adjustment from the lookahead line need to be made at all?

For the first time this season, I'm going to share here at SportsLine where I would set the spread for each game based on watching all the action, reviewing the data and accounting for any potential injury issues. The intent is to give you a sense of where the value in the spread is once sportsbooks put those lines out so you can attack the numbers when they're the softest just after release.

One team I'm not adjusting is the Buccaneers, who upset the Vikings on the road and lived up to the market moving that spread down in the run up to the opener. They won the turnover battle 3-0, including a pick near the Minnesota goal line to save points, but the other two turnovers came on fumbles -- one that likely cost Minnesota a field goal, and the other that set up a Bucs field goal on a zero-yard drive. That kept the Bucs in a game where they averaged just 3.6 yards per play, compared to 5.9 for the Vikings. The Bucs still have plenty to answer on both sides of the ball, and we should treat them the same as we did coming into Week 1.

You can see all of my early projected spreads below before we run our full look at power ratings and official spread projections on Tuesday here at SportsLine.

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