NFL Week 13 best bets: Top five spread picks for premier NFL betting competition from proven expert

I've talked in this space before about the danger of playing a team on the key number of 3, as a push in the big Vegas contests basically has a similar impact as a loss since we need to average above 60% on the season to cash. I hadn't put a 3-point spread on my card since cashing with Jets +3 in Week 1 heading into last week, but I felt so good about the Cardinals at +3 that I took the plunge. And paid for it, as Arizona pushed in overtime.

That's not going to happen again, so that means Cardinals-Buccaneers and Bills-Steelers are immediately ruled out as contest options, even though I do like a side in both of those games at the 3-point spread. Even though 7 isn't as key a number, the strategy also meant submitting picks early, which is always a questionable idea since you sacrifice additional injury information, in order to take the Bears on Black Friday was out of the question. 

So which five teams am I backing? You can find my five best bets for Week 13 based on the Circa Million contest lines below.

Why listen to me? I'm 718-623-37 and up more than 32 units on ATS picks over the last eight years and even better with my top five picks each week, going 464-379-27 (55%) over the last 10 years in the Las Vegas ATS contests. 

So which NFL contest picks am I making for Week 13? ... Join SportsLine right now to see NFL ATS best bets from the expert who's 718-623-37 on ATS picks from 2017 to 2024, returning more than 32 units!

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