NFL Week 11 survivor pool picks: Patriots likely consensus, while road teams otherwise deliver tough decision

Last week we talked about the potential that the Panthers would be the consensus pick despite not being a very good team, and that the combination of those two things made them an auto-avoid for NFL survivor pools. They were the most popular pick in Circa Survivor, though not by a large margin, and along with the Bills took out a significant portion of the field to the point that only 1,000 remain chasing the $18.718 million prize.

Our top pick was the Broncos, and while it wasn't pretty, it must feel good to advance using a team that has been hard to trust against virtually anyone. Our top four 20-gameweek picks and all five 18-gameweek picks also advanced, and Week 11 brings an interesting dilemma between rolling with a consensus or pivoting to another option and hoping for an upset, but this week's favorite is laying a touchdown more than the Panthers last week.

The Patriots host a Jets team on Thursday that looks incapable of completing a forward pass, and it's hard to see them taking a loss. But does the projected Patriots ownership outweigh the likelihood they win? If so, should our attention will pivot to a road divisional favorite like Houston or Baltimore, or potentially a Packers team that may not have to face Jaxson Dart?

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We'll get into that decision below as we rank all the usable options for survivor pools this week. We'll break down the 18,718-entry Circa Survivor pool and then give out our best plays for both large and small pool participants for Week 11.

Why listen to me? I'm 718-623-37 and up more than 32 units on ATS picks over the last eight years and even better with my top five picks each week, going 464-379-27 (55%) over the last 10 years in the Las Vegas ATS contests. While survivor doesn't involve picking against the spread, I do believe by applying the strategies I've developed to have long-term success on those picks to survivor pools, we'll be in the best position to outlast the competition this season.

In Week 11, I've ranked several options for both small pool and large pool participants, weighing whether it's worth using what might be the consensus play or digging a little deeper into the options.

So which NFL survivor picks should you make for the 2025 NFL season, and which Week 11 pick could separate you from the pack? ... Join SportsLine right now to see NFL Survivor Pool 2025 strategy from the expert who's 718-623-37 on ATS picks from 2017 to 2024, returning more than 32 units!

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