The Dallas Mavericks (49-30) and the Miami Heat (44-35) square off in a cross-conference link-up on Wednesday at 7:30 p.m. ET. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Mavericks as 2-point favorites, while the over/under is 215.5 points (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before you make any Mavericks vs. Heat picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 25 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 83-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,200. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Dallas guard Luka Doncic is impactful in every aspect of the game. Doncic has great court vision and playmaking ability from all three levels. The 25-year-old is first in the NBA in scoring (33.9) and second in assists (9.8). In Tuesday's win over Charlotte Hornets, Doncic finished with 39 points, 12 boards, and 10 assists.

The model also knows Miami forward Jimmy Butler is the leader of the team. Butler has a knack for getting into the lane and absorbing contact around the rim. The 34-year-old logged 21.1 points, 5.3 rebounds, and 4.9 assists per game. In his last outing, Butler totaled 25 points, eight boards, and nine assists.

The model has simulated Mavericks vs. Heat 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations!

Who wins Mavericks vs. Heat, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 83-58 roll on top-rated NBA picks!