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Kansas State vs. Houston line, picks: Advanced computer college basketball model releases selections for Big 12 showdown

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Saturday's matchup between the Kansas State Wildcats and the No. 4 Houston Cougars

By@SportsLinePublished: Jan 27, 2024 3:34PM UTC . 3 min read

The No. 4 Houston Cougars host the Kansas State Wildcats in a Big 12 showdown at 12 p.m. ET on Saturday. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Cougars as 15-point favorites, while the over/under is 128 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). Before making any Kansas State vs. Houston picks, you NEED to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 12 of the 2023-24 season on a 114-73 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $2,000 for $100 players. It is also off to a sizzling 19-5 start on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Kansas State has two standouts in Camryn Carter and Arthur Kaluma. Carter leads the team in scoring with 16.3 points per game, and he has 12 points or more in 13 straight outings. Kaluma leads the team with 7.6 rebounds per game, adding 15.2 points per contest on 40.7% 3-point shooting. Kansas State also has a stellar 35.7% offensive rebound rate, and the Wildcats are averaging more than 21 free throw attempts per game.

The model also knows Houston has the best defense in the country. The Cougars lead the nation points allowed per game (51.9) and points allowed per possession (0.813) this season. Houston is also No. 1 in the country in opponent field goal percentage (34.8%), opponent 2-point percentage (40.0%), and block rate (19.6%). The Cougars are also in the top eight of the country in 3-point defense, turnover creation rate, and steal rate.

Now, it has set its sights on Kansas State vs. Houston. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

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