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Guardians vs. Rays odds, picks: Advanced computer MLB model releases selections for Saturday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Saturday's matchup between the Cleveland Guardians and the Tampa Bay Rays
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The Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays face off in a matinee contest between AL clubs at 1:10 p.m. ET on Saturday. Tampa Bay is listed as a -145 favorite (risk $145 to win $100) at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 7.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our MLB odds page). 

Before making any Guardians vs. Rays picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it is 284-243 on top-rated MLB money-line picks since the start of the 2021 season, returning over $400 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

The model knows Cleveland puts the ball in play. The Guardians lead the AL in strikeout avoidance, and Cleveland is in the top five of the AL in hits, doubles, triples, stolen bases, and batting average. Cleveland starting pitcher Zach Plesac is also effective, allowing a .615 OPS to right-handed hitters and issuing only 2.4 walks per nine innings. He has a 3.07 ERA in his last 10 starts, illustrating a lofty baseline.

The model also knows the Rays are in the top tier of the AL in doubles and stolen bases. Tampa Bay also shows patience with an above-average mark in walks, and the Rays have Corey Kluber on the mound. The two-time Cy Young winner has a 3.34 ERA at home this season, issuing only 1.5 walks per nine innings. Opposing hitters have a .692 OPS against Kluber and he is giving up less than a home run per nine innings.

Now, it has set its sights on Guardians vs. Rays. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one team has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.

Who wins Guardians vs. Rays? And which team has ALL the value on the money line? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Guardians vs. Rays matchup you should be all over Saturday, all from the model on a roll on MLB picks!

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SportsLine Staff