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    Fantasy Football 2024 projections: Projecting the Texans offensive players from CJ Stroud to Nico Collins and more

    SportsLine's Jacob Gibbs projects the Texans offense for 2024

    Before diving into Fantasy analysis for each team, I'll present a brief overview containing their offensive ranks in my baseline team projections as well as any notable coaching or offensive line changes.

    Before diving into Fantasy analysis for each team, I'll present a brief overview containing their offensive ranks in my base line team projections as well as any notable coaching or offensive line changes. In the case of the Texans, not all that much has actually changed. The surprise AFC South winner runs it back with the coaching staff that turned this from a three-win team in 2022 to a 10-win team in 2023.

    Projected Offensive Plays – (5th)

    Projected Passing TDs – 30.8 (4th)

    Projected Rushing TDs – 16.6 (24th)

    Notable coaching changes:

    • Nothing to see here!

    Offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik will likely get an opportunity to work as an NFL head coach sometime soon, but for 2024, he'll return to lead this awesome Texans team. Let's take a moment to quickly appreciate him.

    texansnl1.png

    In Slowik's first season calling plays, we saw the Texans near the top of the league in pre-snap motion. That's fantastic news for real-life and Fantasy football purposes.

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    Another fun note on Slowik -- his Texans led the NFL in pass attempts that targeted the deep middle of the field, according to FantasyPoints.com. And on passes targeting the intermediate or deep-middle, C.J. Stroud stood alone at the top of the NFL in passing.

    texansnl3.png

    You'll notice quarterbacks who play for some of the NFL's very best play-callers produced most of the top results in this metric. Stroud's ability unlocks the deep-middle area of the field, but it is Slowik who decides to design so many routes that attack that area. In this way, the Texans offense remains flexible, agile, and unpredictable. This offense is a nightmare to defend.

    If making one request to Slowik, I would ask him to lean into Stroud and this awesome passing attack more on first downs. The first-down run game felt predictable at times in Slowik's first year calling plays. In 2023, the Texans had one of the lowest first-down pass rates in neutral situations. I'd love to see him join Matt LaFleur and Kyle Shanahan above the trend line below.

    texansnl4.png

    Notable offensive line changes

    • Drafted tackle Blake Fisher in Round 2

    This offensive line is stocked full of talent, health is the only concern. Three of five starters carry Round 1 NFL Draft pedigree, and the two non-first-rounders are Juice Scruggs (Round 2 pick in 2023) and Shaq Mason (five separate seasons with a PFF blocking grade of 80+). So many different linemen were forced into action for this team in 2023 that the Texans now boast unique experience among the depth pieces. Add Round 2 selection Blake Fisher to the equation, and this is one of the deepest and most well-rounded offensive lines heading into 2024. We'll see how long it remains intact!

    Which Texans players will be worth targeting and avoiding in 2024 Fantasy drafts? ... Join SportsLine right now to see Jacob Gibbs' Do Not Draft list, all from one of the nation's most-accurate rankers!

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    Jacob GibbsDFS Guru

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