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Diamondbacks vs. Mets line, picks: Advanced computer MLB model releases selections for Saturday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Saturday's matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the New York Mets

By@SportsLinePublished: Apr 16, 2022 2:38PM UTC . 2 min read

The New York Mets host the Arizona Diamondbacks in a matinee showdown at 1:10 p.m. ET on Saturday. New York is listed as a -160 favorite (risk $160 to win $100) at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at eight (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our MLB odds page). 

Before making any Diamondbacks vs. Mets picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, enters Week 2 of the 2022 season on a 216-181 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks that dates back to last season, returning over $900 for $100 players. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Diamondbacks have a strong starting pitcher in Zac Gallen. The 26-year-old has a 3.18 career ERA against the Mets, and right-handers are hitting only .212 against Gallen in his career. In fact, Gallen limits right-handed batters to a .298 on-base percentage, and Gallen has a career strikeout rate of 10.44 batters per nine innings. Finally, Gallen's career 3.46 ERA is excellent, and Arizona can be confident in his ability.

The model also knows New York is arguably the hottest team in the National League. In addition to three straight wins and a strong overall record, the Mets are blasting the ball on offense. New York has 10 home runs and 44 runs scored in eight games. The Mets also have seven stolen bases and a walk rate of nearly 11 percent. The Mets boast a .268 batting average and a .371 on-base percentage, and New York has the benefit of home-field advantage on Saturday.

Now, it has set its sights on Diamondbacks vs. Mets. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the money line has all the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.

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