The Miami Heat (28-24) will host the Boston Celtics (40-12) in an Eastern Conference matchup on Sunday at 2 p.m. ET. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Celtics as 6-point favorites, while the over/under is 226 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before you make any Celtics vs. Heat picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 16 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 51-33 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $1,700. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Boston small forward Jayson Tatum has scored 30 or more points in three of the last five games, including a 35-point and 10-rebound performance in Friday's 133-129 win over the Washington Wizards. He scored 34 points, grabbed eight rebounds and dished out seven assists in a 131-91 victory over Memphis on Feb. 4.

The model also knows point guard Tyler Herro moved into Miami's top-five all-time 3-point field goals made list on Jan. 8 against Houston and now has 707 in his career. Fourth on the list is Glen Rice with 708. Herro is coming off a 24-point, seven-assist and six-rebound effort against the Spurs on Wednesday. In two games against the Celtics this year, Herro is averaging 23.5 points, six assists and 4.5 rebounds in 34.5 minutes.

The model has simulated Celtics vs. Heat 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time!

Who wins Celtics vs. Heat, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 51-33 roll on top-rated NBA picks!