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Astros vs. Twins odds, picks: Advanced computer MLB model releases selections for ALDS Game 3 matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Tuesday's Game 3 matchup between the Houston Astros and Minnesota Twins

By@SportsLinePublished: Oct 10, 2023 6:07PM UTC . 2 min read

The Houston Astros and Minnesota Twins meet for Game 3 of the ALDS at 4:07 p.m. ET on Tuesday from Target Field in Minneapolis. The best-of-five series is even at 1-1. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists Minnesota as a -125 favorite (risk $125 to win $100) on the money line, while the over/under is set at 8 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our MLB odds page).

Before making any Astros vs. Twins picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered the second week of the 2023 MLB playoffs 92-74 on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 18-6 (+766). Anybody following has seen big returns!

The model knows that right fielder Kyle Tucker has been a key ingredient to the Houston offense. In 157 games this season, the 2015 first-round pick hit .284 with 37 doubles, five triples, 29 homers, 112 RBI and 97 runs scored. The model also knows Minnesota right fielder Max Kepler is batting .267 in the postseason with a hit in all four games. Including the regular season, Kepler is on an eight-game hitting streak, including a 4-for-4 effort in a 6-4 win over Oakland on Sept. 27. He hit .260 during the regular season with 22 doubles, two triples, 24 homers, 66 RBI and 72 runs scored.  

Now, it has set its sights on Astros vs. Twins. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the money line has all the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.

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