2026 Straight Talk Wireless 500 odds, picks: NASCAR projected leaderboard from proven model

The 2026 NASCAR Cup Series continues on Sunday with the 2026 Straight Talk Wireless 500 from Phoenix Raceway at 3:30 p.m. ET. Tyler Reddick is off to a dominant start, setting a new NASCAR record for season-opening wins (3) for the Michael Jordan-owned 23XI team. 

Despite that dominance, he is not the favorite in the NASCAR at Phoenix odds as he sits at +1300 behind co-favorites Christopher Bell, Ryan Blaney, Kyle Larson and Denny Hamlin, all at +650. A win for Reddick would tie the modern-day record for most consecutive NASCAR wins, so the betting action should be heavy on Sunday.

Before making any 2026 Straight Talk Wireless 500 picks or NASCAR predictions, you need to see what auto racing insider Mike McClure has to say.

McClure is a legendary professional DFS player with more than $2 million in career winnings. He uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every lap of NASCAR action, taking factors such as matchups and statistical trends into account. 

All told, the model has nailed a whopping 29 winners since 2021 and hit 11 winners in 2025! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.

For the NASCAR at Phoenix, the model is not picking Reddick to win a fourth straight race, saying he finishes outside of the top 5. Another surprise: Ross Chastain (+2200) is projected to make a strong run towards the title. 

The model has also identified a huge longshot of higher than +5000 who makes a run for the top of the leaderboard, potentially netting any backer a huge payday!

So who wins the 2026 Straight Talk Wireless 500, and which massive longshot could stun NASCAR? Visit SportsLine now to see the picks and best bets from a NASCAR model that nailed 11 winners last year, and find out!