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2026 Goodyear 400 odds, picks: NASCAR projected leaderboard from proven model

Mike McClure's NASCAR model has simulated the 2026 Goodyear 400 from Darlington Raceway 10,000 times

By@Mike5754Updated: Mar 18, 2026 1:43AM UTC . 2 min read

The 2026 NASCAR Cup Series continues on Sunday with the 2026 Goodyear 400 from Darlington Raceway at 3 p.m. ET. Tyler Reddick won the first three races of the year, with Ryan Blaney taking Phoenix and then Denny Hamlin winning last week in Vegas. The Goodyear 400 2026 will be the first of two NASCAR at Darlington races this season, and Hamlin is the defending champion. However, Chase Briscoe has won the last two NASCAR Darlington fall races as Joe Gibbs Racing swept last year's pair of races.

Hamlin is the +500 favorite in the latest 2026 NASCAR at Darlington odds, followed by Reddick (+600), Briscoe (+600) and Kyle Larson (+600). Bubba Wallace, who sits second in the Cup Series standings and has top 10s in all four oval races this season, is at +2000, while rookie Connor Zilisch is at +8000 to utilize in auto racing bets.

Before making any 2026 Goodyear 400 picks or NASCAR predictions, you need to see what auto racing insider Mike McClure has to say.

McClure is a legendary professional DFS player with more than $2 million in career winnings. He uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every lap of NASCAR action, taking factors such as matchups and statistical trends into account. 

All told, the model has nailed a whopping 29 winners since 2021 and hit 11 winners in 2025! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.

For NASCAR at Darlington, the model is fading Chase Briscoe (+600), saying he doesn't crack the top 10 despite tying for the second-shortest odds. Another surprise: Chase Elliott (+1800) is projected to make a strong run towards the title. His 9.8 average finish over the last six Darlington races is second-best amongst all drivers.

The model has also identified two massive longshots of over +4000 who make runs for the top of the leaderboard, potentially netting any backer a huge payday!

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