2025 Wurth 400 odds, picks: Projected NASCAR at Texas leaderboard, predictions by top model
The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the 2025 Wurth 400 at Texas Motor Speedway 10,000 times and revealed its NASCAR picks
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After another thrilling finish at Talladega, the NASCAR Cup Series will head to Texas Motor Speedway on Sunday for the 2025 Wurth 400. Chase Elliott broke a 42-race winless streak, his longest since earning his first win as a 22-year-old in 2018, with a win at Texas last season. He'll now look to end a 37-race winless streak on Sunday. Elliott is +2000 in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Texas odds, while teammates Kyle Larson and William Byron are the favorites at +500 and +600, respectively. Carson Hocevar is on the NASCAR Texas pole.
The green flag drops at 3:3 p.m. ET on Sunday. Before making any 2025 NASCAR at Texas predictions, you NEED to see the latest 2025 Wurth 400 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Our proven projection model has simulated the 2025 Wurth 400 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors, including track history and recent results.
McClure's model began the 2025 season by calling Chase Elliott's win in the Cook Out Clash at Bowman Gray for a +300 payout. Then at Daytona, it was also high on William Byron despite +2000 odds and it went on to predict Kyle Larson as a +350 winner in Miami as well as his top five in Talladega for a +225 payout. The model also called its first victory of the 2024 season with Larson winning in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout then predicted Denny Hamlin's wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4.
It impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021 too. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 20 winners since 2021 and has hit two winners already in 2025! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.
Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR at Texas 2025 and released its projections.
For the 2025 Wurth 400, we can tell you the model is high on Chase Briscoe, even though he's a longshot at +1400 in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Texas odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. It's also revealed a shocking NASCAR prop for Sunday: Ryan Blaney finishes top five for a +130 payout at the 1.5-mile speedway. He's a plenty of potential value for your Texas NASCAR prop bets.
The model is also targeting THREE OTHER drivers with odds of 14-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY NEED to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.
So who wins the 2025 Wurth 400, and which EPIC longshots are MUST-BACKS? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Texas leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 20 winners!
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