2025 Viva Mexico 250 odds, picks: Projected NASCAR at Mexico City leaderboard, predictions by top model
The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the 2025 Viva Mexico 250 at Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez 10,000 times and revealed its NASCAR picks
The NASCAR Cup Series has made several voyages outside the United States in its history, but there has never been a points race held internationally at NASCAR's highest level. That ends on Sunday when the 2025 Viva Mexico City 250 takes place at Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez in Mexico City. The 17-turn, 2.674-mile track has hosted Formula 1 races and was previously a stop on the NASCAR Xfinity Series schedule. Road racing savant Shane Van Gisbergen is the +330 favorite in the 2025 Viva Mexico 250 odds, while Christopher Bell is +700 after winning the only previous road race of the year in Austin. Shane van Gisbergen will be on the pole.
The green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday and the race is scheduled for 100 laps around the famed Mexico City circuit. Before making any 2025 NASCAR at Mexico City predictions, you NEED to see the latest 2025 Viva Mexico 250 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Our proven projection model has simulated the 2025 Viva Mexico 250 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors, including track history and recent results.
McClure's model began the 2025 season by calling Chase Elliott's win in the Cook Out Clash at Bowman Gray for a +300 payout. Then at Daytona, it was also high on William Byron despite +2000 odds and it went on to predict Kyle Larson as a +350 winner in Miami, Christopher Bell as a +600 winner in the NASCAR All-Star Race and Denny Hamlin for a +650 payout in Michigan. The model also called its first victory of the 2024 season with Larson winning in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout then predicted Denny Hamlin's wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4.Â
It impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021 too. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 22 winners since 2021 and has hit four winners already in 2025! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.
Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR at Mexico City 2025 and released its projections.
For the 2025 Viva Mexico 250, we can tell you the model is high on Michael McDowell, even though he's a longshot at +1800 in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Mexico City odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. It's also revealed a shocking NASCAR prop for Sunday: Daniel Suarez finishes top five for a +200 payout in his home country. He's a potentially a strong value pick for your Mexico NASCAR prop bets.
The model is also targeting THREE OTHER drivers with odds of 12-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY NEED to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.
So who wins the 2025 Viva Mexico 250, and which EPIC longshots are MUST-BACKS? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Mexico City leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 22 winners!
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