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2025 Open Championship odds, picks: Proven golf model reveals projected leaderboard, surprising predictions

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the 2025 Open Championship 10,000 times and came up with a shocking leaderboard

By@Mike5754Published: Jul 17, 2025 1:35AM UTC . 3 min read

The final major of the PGA Tour season begins on Thursday, with the first tee times coming at 1:35 a.m. ET, as the 2025 Open Championship takes place from Royal Portrush Golf Club. It will be the third time the course hosts The Open and also the third time the British Open takes place in Northern Ireland. Recent champions include Xander Schauffele, Cameron Smith and Collin Morikawa, as well as Shane Lowry, who won the last time Royal Portrush played host (2019). However, it's World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler who is the +450 betting favorite, according to the latest 2025 Open Championship odds. Scheffler is also -110 to finish in the top 5 and -220 to finish in the top 10.

Rory McIlroy, a native of Northern Ireland, comes in at +700. McIlroy is coming off a T-2 finish at the Scottish Open and is +140 to finish inside the top five at Royal Portrush. Jon Rahm (+1200), Bryson DeChambeau (+2000), Schauffele (+2500), Tommy Fleetwood (+2600), Ludvig Aberg (+2800) and Viktor Hovland (30-1) are among the other contenders. U.S. Open winner J.J. Spaun (+9000) and Scottish Open winner Chris Gotterup (+10000) are PGA longshots to consider in 2025 Open Championship bets.

Before locking in your 2025 Open Championship picks, you NEED to see the golf predictions and 2025 Open Championship projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $8,500 on its best bets since June 2020, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a WHOPPING 15 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters, its fourth Masters in a row, and the 2025 PGA Championship! Anyone who has followed it could have seen MASSIVE returns! Join SportsLine now to see the model's shocking 2025 Open Championship picks from 10,000 simulations!

Now, with the 2025 Open Championship field locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising.

One major surprise the model is calling for at the Open Championship 2025: Rory McIlroy, a five-time major champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and falls outside the top three! Another surprise: Justin Thomas, a 50-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday!

The model's outright best bets include four golfers going off at +2500 or higher, including two MASSIVE triple-digit longshots. Anyone who backs these golfers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any 2025 Open Championship picks!

GET VEGAS EXPERT PICKS FOR NFL, MLB, NBA, CBB, GOLF, NHL, HORSE RACING AND MORE - PLUS ADVANCED COMPUTER SIMULATIONS, WINNING TOOLS, AND MORE!

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