2025 Mobil 1 301 odds, picks: Projected NASCAR at New Hampshire leaderboard, predictions by top model
The SportsLine Projection Model simulated Sunday's 2025 Mobil 1 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway 10,000 times and revealed its NASCAR picks for the fourth race of the Cup Series Playoffs
The 2025 NASCAR Playoffs roll on to their fourth race -- and first of the Round of 12 -- with the 2025 Mobil 1 301 on Sunday. Held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway, this is the 30th overall race of the Cup Series. Chase Briscoe, Denny Hamlin and Christopher Bell prevailed at the first three Cup Series Playoff races, with Bell also winning two of the last three NASCAR at New Hampshire races. Thus, it's no surprise that he's the +330 favorite for the latest Mobil 1 301 odds. A trio of drivers follow Bell, with Hamlin, Kyle Larson and Ryan Blaney all at +650 to utilize in 2025 NASCAR at New Hampshire bets.
William Byron claimed the regular season championship but is a +1100 NASCAR longshot. He also has +300 odds to finish in the top 3, per the NASCAR props for New Hampshire Motor Speedway. Meanwhile, Joey Logano has notched back-to-back top 5s and is at +110 to make it three in a row for the Mobil 1 301 2025.
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The green flag will drop at 2 p.m. ET on Sunday, and the race is scheduled for 301 laps around the 1.058-miles asphalt oval that opened in 1990. Before making any NASCAR at New Hampshire predictions, you NEED to see the latest 2025 Mobil 1 301 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Our proven projection model has simulated Sunday's 2025 Mobil 1 301 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors, including track history and recent results.
McClure's model began the 2025 season by calling Chase Elliott's win in the Cook Out Clash at Bowman Gray for a +300 payout. Then it went on to predict Kyle Larson in Miami (+350), Christopher Bell's NASCAR All-Star Race win (+600), Denny Hamlin's win in Michigan (+650), Shane van Gisbergen's win in Mexico City (+330), Elliott's win in Atlanta (+1500) and van Gisbergen again in Chicago (+150), Sonoma (+125) and Watkins Glen (+135).
All told, the model has nailed a whopping 27 winners since 2021 and has hit nine winners already in 2025! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.
Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR at New Hampshire 2025 and released its projections.
For Sunday's 2025 Mobil 1 301, we can tell you the model is high on Kyle Busch, even though he's a longshot at +2800 in the latest 2025 NASCAR at New Hampshire odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. It's also revealed a shocking NASCAR prop for this weekend: Chase Elliott finishes top 5 for a +150 payout. He's a potentially a strong value pick for your New Hampshire NASCAR prop bets.
The model is also targeting TWO OTHER drivers with odds of 12-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY NEED to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.
So who wins the 2025 Mobil 1 301, and which EPIC longshots are MUST-BACKS? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at New Hampshire leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 27 winners!
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