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After a week off, the 2025 Formula 1 season resumes with the Miami Grand Prix on Sunday. The Miami International Autodrome loops around Hard Rock Stadium and first appeared on the F1 schedule in 2022, with Max Verstappen of Red Bull Racing winning in 2022 and 2023 while McLaren's Lando Norris won in 2024. Verstappen claimed pole position in qualifying on Saturday and his odds have dropped to +175, behind only Norris, who is the favorite at +145. Oscar Piastri, who was the first to three wins this season, follows at +270. Kimi Antonelli (+1200) and George Russell (+2800) round out the top five choices on the F1 Miami odds board.
The lights go out at 4 p.m. ET on Sunday. SportsLine's proven computer projection model simulated the 2025 Miami GP 10,000 times, creating a surprising leaderboard.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary Formula 1 prediction model takes into account a slew of factors, including track history and recent results.
The model has been scorching hot when it comes to picking Formula 1 race events dating back to 2021. It nailed both of Charles Leclerc's wins in 2022, and at the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix, the model was strongly backing Verstappen as its top pick. The result: Verstappen dominated the field and ran away with a surprising victory.
It followed that up by calling Verstappen's win at the Rolex Emilia Romagna GP in April and nailed Verstappen to win in Belgium, the Netherlands, Japan, the United States, Mexico and Abu Dhabi. It also called all 19 of Verstappen's wins during the 2023 season and nailed each of his first seven wins in 2024.
It also predicted Lando Norris's 2024 wins in the Netherlands (+200), Singapore (+190) and Abu Dhabi (+250) as well as his win to start the season at the 2025 Australian Grand Prix (+185). Then it stayed hot by predicting Piastri's wins in Bahrain (-275) and Saudi Arabia (-105). Anyone who followed the model's lead on those plays has seen HUGE returns!
The Miami International Autodrome is a 19-turn, 3.363-mile temporary circuit built on the private grounds of the Miami Dolphins' home stadium. With grand prix in Miami and Las Vegas added in recent seasons, it's now one of three stops in the United States on the Formula 1 schedule thanks to the explosive growth spurned by Netflix's "Drive to Survive." Verstappen set the lap record with a 1:29.708 on his way to winning the 2023 Miami Grand Prix.
Now, the model has dialed in on the 2025 Formula 1 Miami Grand Prix and just released its coveted picks and leaderboard projections.
We can tell you the model is predicting a points finish (top 10) for Racing Bulls' Isack Hadjar that would pay out +200 at BetMGM. Hadjar is a 20-year-old Frenchman who finished second in Formula 2 last season and he earned a seat with Racing Bulls after Yuki Tsunoda was elevated to Red Bull Racing this offseason.
Thus far, the youngster has held his own, overcoming an embarrassing debut where he crashed his car during the formation lap and had to be retired to collect points in two of his last three races. Most sportsbooks have Hadjar priced between -115 and +100 to earn his third top-10 finish in four races, so this is a tremendous value given the team's recent success.
The model has also made its win prediction and is also targeting one significant underdog to make a charge up the leaderboard! Anyone who backs this driver could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who he is before locking in any Formula 1 Bahrain GP picks of your own.
So who wins the 2025 Formula 1 Miami Grand Prix, and which SERIOUS longshot could be in contention? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected Miami GP leaderboard, all from the model that has called 32 of the 49 winners since the start of the 2023 season!