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2025 Formula 1 schedule, F1 picks, odds: Canadian Grand Prix projected leaderboard, start time, race prediction from top model

SportsLine's model simulated the Canadian GP 2025 and released its F1 predictions for Max Verstappen, Oscar Piastri and the rest of the grid

By@Mike5754Updated: Jun 15, 2025 1:43PM UTC . 4 min read

The 2025 Canadian Grand Prix will be held on Sunday at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve in Montreal. It's been Formula 1's exclusive home for the Canadian Grand Prix since 1978 and is situated on Notre Dame Island in the middle of the St. Lawrence River. Red Bull Racing's Max Verstappen is the three-time defending champion of the event and he'll need to keep that streak running as he looks to stop Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris of McLaren for running away in the race for the world championship. Verstappen is the +155 favorite (risk $100 to win $155) in the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix odds, followed by Piastri (+175) and George Russell (+250). 

The lights go out at 2 p.m. ET on Sunday and the race is scheduled for 70 laps around the 14-turn, 2.710-mile circuit. SportsLine's proven computer projection model simulated the 2025 Canadian GP 10,000 times, creating a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary Formula 1 prediction model takes into account a slew of factors, including track history and recent results.

The model has been scorching hot when it comes to picking Formula 1 race events dating back to 2021. It nailed both of Charles Leclerc's wins in 2022, and at the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix, the model was strongly backing Verstappen as its top pick. The result: Verstappen dominated the field and ran away with a surprising victory. 

It followed that up by calling Verstappen's win at the Rolex Emilia Romagna GP in April and nailed Verstappen to win in Belgium, the Netherlands, Japan, the United States, Mexico and Abu Dhabi. It also called all 19 of Verstappen's wins during the 2023 season and nailed each of his first seven wins in 2024. 

It also predicted Lando Norris's 2024 wins in the Netherlands (+200), Singapore (+190) and Abu Dhabi (+250) as well as his wins at the Australian GP (+185) and Monaco GP (-150) in 2025. It also predicted Piastri's wins in Bahrain (-275) and Saudi Arabia (-105). Anyone who followed the model's lead on those plays has seen HUGE returns!  

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2025 Formula 1 Canadian Grand Prix and just released its coveted picks and leaderboard projections. 

We can tell you the model is backing Red Bull Racing for a double-points finish (+170) where both Verstappen and Yuki Tsunoda finish top 10. The Spanish Grand Prix was the low-water mark for Red Bull, as the team managed to collect just one point with Verstappen finishing 10th and Tsunoda finishing 13th. However, this is still incredible value when you consider the other races they've run together as teammates.

After Tsunoda replaced Liam Lawson in Red Bull's second seat, Verstappen and Tsunoda both finished inside the top 10 three times in a four-race span. That included an extremely strong run by both cars at Imola, with Verstappen winning the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix and Tsunoda racing his way up to 10th after starting the race on pit lane. Verstappen has won the last three Canadian Grand Prix and Red Bull was double-podium at Notre Dame in 2023.

The model has also made its win prediction and is also targeting one significant underdog to make a charge up the leaderboard! Anyone who backs this driver could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who he is before locking in any Formula 1 Canadian GP picks of your own.

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