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2025 BMW Championship odds, picks: Proven golf model reveals projected leaderboard, surprising predictions

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the 2025 BMW Championship 10,000 times and came up with a shocking leaderboard

By@Mike5754Published: Aug 14, 2025 11:49AM UTC . 3 min read

The 2025 FedEx Cup Playoffs got off to an exciting start when Justin Rose outlasted J.J. Spaun in a playoff in the FedEx St. Jude Championship, and the playoffs continue with the 2025 BMW Championship this week. The top 50 players in the FedEx Cup standings will head to Caves Valley Golf Club outside of Baltimore, where the first round begins on Thursday. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler still holds a significant lead atop the standings, with the top 30 players after this weekend advancing to the Tour Championship. 

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Scheffler is the +230 favorite (risk $100 to win $230) in the 2025 BMW Championship odds, while Rory McIlroy is +750 after sitting out last week. Other 2025 BMW Championship contenders include Xander Schauffele (18-1), Tommy Fleetwood (20-1), Ludvig Aberg (20-1) and Patrick Cantlay (22-1). Rose is a 45-1 longshot following his win last week, and Spaun is ahead of him at 30-1. Sepp Straka, who opened at 40-1, withdraw on Monday for personal reasons, leaving 49 players to tee it up on Thursday beginning at 9:21 a.m. ET.

Before locking in your 2025 BMW Championship picks, you NEED to see the golf predictions and 2025 BMW Championship projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $8,500 on its best bets since June 2020, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a WHOPPING 16 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters, its fourth Masters in a row, as well as this year's PGA Championship and Open Championship! Anyone who has followed it could have seen MASSIVE returns! Join SportsLine now to see the model's shocking 2025 BMW Championship picks from 10,000 simulations!

Now, with the 2025 BMW Championship field locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising.

One major surprise the model is calling for at the FedEx St. Jude Championship 2025: Tommy Fleetwood, who has the fourth-shortest odds in the field, stumbles this week and barely cracks the top 10! Another pick: J.J. Spaun (+3000) makes a strong run at the title. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday!

The model is also targeting THREE other longshots at 30-1 or longer to make strong runs at the title! Anyone who backs these golfers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any 2025 BMW Championship picks!

LIMITED TIME: Use promo code CHAMPIONSHIP to get your first month for $1 JOIN NOW. 

GET VEGAS EXPERT PICKS FOR NFL, MLB, NBA, CBB, GOLF, NHL, HORSE RACING AND MORE - PLUS ADVANCED COMPUTER SIMULATIONS, WINNING TOOLS, AND MORE!

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